Category Archives: Nigeria

Rise of the Rest: A Vision Deferred

Changing demographics and the commodities crash have slowed down the development of poorer countries. Perhaps it all started with a turn in China’s demographics. Demand growth for commodities has declined sharply from recent years and has resulted in a crash of global prices. Copper is … Continue reading

Posted in Brazil, BRIC countries, China, Churchill, Commodities, Demography, Economy, Education, Emerging Markets, India, Investment, Kenya, Mexico, Natural Resources, Nigeria, Oil, Pakistan, Philippines, Russia, Society, Tanzania | 1 Comment

In One Chart: Achieving the Demographic Dividend

The experience of China provides a useful policy template for countries with booming populations in south and southeast Asia and in sub-Saharan Africa. The Chinese boom showed that a growing working-age population combined with a declining fertility ratio can result in a large demographic dividend if certain conditions … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, BRIC countries, China, Demography, Economy, Education, Family Planning, India, Investment, Nigeria, Society, Sub-Saharan, Trade, Urbanization | Leave a comment

How Many People Will Live in Africa in 2050 and 2100?

Large declines in fertility will depend on raising female literacy above 80%. Every few years, the United Nations Population Division releases demographic projections for the entire world and for every country, region and continent. Although the UN’s database is the most used source on demographics, … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, Analysis and Opinion, Asia, China, Demography, Economy, Education, Emerging Markets, Family Planning, India, Investment, Kenya, Niger, Nigeria, Sub-Saharan, Uganda, United Nations, Urbanization, World Bank | Leave a comment

Report: Africa’s Demographic Transition, Dividend or Disaster?

A recent report published jointly by the World Bank and by Agence Française de Développement highlights the challenge of realizing Africa’s promised demographic dividend. The title Africa’s Demographic Transition: Dividend or Disaster? (see footnote 1) sums up the authors’ thesis that the dividend is … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, Botswana, Demography, DR Congo, Economy, Emerging Markets, Ethiopia, Kenya, Niger, Nigeria, Society, South Africa, Sub-Saharan, Tanzania, World Bank | Leave a comment

Now a Trade Partnership with Africa?

A few days ago, the United States reached agreement on the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) with eleven other nations (see list in tables below). Here is how the Office of the US Trade Representative (USTR) describes the TPP on its web page: … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Demography, Dependency Ratio, Economy, Emerging Markets, Investment, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Nigeria, Peru, Singapore, Sub-Saharan, Tanzania, Trade, United States, US Economy, Vietnam

Providing Electricity to Africa by 2050

How many Africans will have access to electricity by 2050? According to the World Bank’s latest figures, 64.6% of the population of sub-Saharan Africa lacked access to electricity in 2012, or a total of 572 million people. Across the world, 1.09 billion have no … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, China, Demography, Economy, Emerging Markets, India, Infrastructure, Investment, Nigeria, Pakistan, Philippines, Sub-Saharan

The Candidates’ Other Demographic Challenge

It is massively larger than 11 million illegals. Hans Rosling, co-founder of Gapminder, calls it “the biggest change of our time”. It is Africa’s population growth from 1 billion people today to 2.5 billion by 2050 and 4 billion by 2100. … Continue reading

Posted in 2016 Candidates, Africa, Demography, Dependency Ratio, Economy, Emerging Markets, Europe, Immigration, India, Mexico, Nigeria, Politics, Poverty, Russia, United States, US Economy

Demography, the Global Emergency

It is not an exaggeration to say that world demographics are entering uncharted territory. For the first time in a very long time, perhaps the first time ever, the dependency ratios (loosely, the ratio of dependents to workers) of all … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, Analysis and Opinion, Bangladesh, Demography, Dependency Ratio, Economy, Emerging Markets, Europe, European Union, Germany, Immigration, India, Nigeria, Philippines, Sub-Saharan

Demography Charts – 2

9 December 2014 See also Demography Charts – 1 Below are lists of largest country populations in 1950, 2015 and 2050, assuming the UN’s medium-variant projections. Key takeaways: Lower growth for world population in upcoming decades as total fertility ratios … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, Analysis and Opinion, China, Demography, Economy, Emerging Markets, India, Nigeria, Sub-Saharan, United States, US Economy

This Is Africa’s New Biggest City: Lagos, Nigeria, Population 21 Million

JOHN CAMPBELL, a former US Ambassador to Nigeria, writes in the ATLANTIC: In a celebration of Lagos and African urbanization, theFinancial Times ran a piece by Xan Rice highlighting Nigeria’s commercial capital’s size, its economic importance, and its government’s energy in addressing concrete … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, Demography, Emerging Markets, Nigeria, Sub-Saharan