Category Archives: India

The Futility of Annual Top 10 Predictions

In every recent year, a black swan event has made top 10 lists appear quaintly naive and unimaginative. Our list is probably no better. This time of year, top 10 predictions are all the rage. These lists can be interesting and entertaining but how useful are … Continue reading

Posted in China, Economy, Emerging Markets, India, Iran, Oil, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Society, Terrorism, United States | Leave a comment

Update on India’s Demonetization, with Ravi Srinivasan

Sami J. Karam speaks to Ravi Srinivasan about India’s demonetization, its short and long term impact. Srinivasan gives an update five weeks after the November 8th announcement. For background, read Srinivasan’s original post India’s Disruptive Gamble and other populyst posts on India. … Continue reading

Posted in Economy, India, Podcast, Society | Leave a comment

India’s Disruptive Gamble

by Ravi Srinivasan (Ravi discussed this post at the BreakingBank$ podcast. His segment starts at 20:10.) Modi’s demonetization was the other November 8th global earthquake. A thorough historical record will show that not one but two man-made events shook the world on … Continue reading

Posted in Corruption, Economy, Emerging Markets, Guest Post, India, Innovation, Podcast, Society, Taxation, Technology | Leave a comment

Talking about populyst and the populyst Index

Aaron M. Renn, a senior fellow at the Manhattan Institute and a contributing editor at City Journal, invited founder Sami J. Karam to discuss populyst and the populyst index. Topics include the economies of America and China, Europe’s demographic stagnation and Africa’s population … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, BRIC countries, China, Demography, Dependency Ratio, Economy, Emerging Markets, Europe, Germany, India, Innovation, Japan, Podcast, Society, Sub-Saharan, United States | Leave a comment

The Relationship Between Fertility and National Income

We all heard that “demography is destiny”. But how many of us truly believe it? If demography was destiny, the world would look very different today. The two demographic giants China and India would be uncontested economic and military powers. The United … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, China, Communism, Demography, Economy, Education, Health Care, India, Natural Resources, Oil, Society, Sub-Saharan | 2 Comments

Rise of the Rest: A Vision Deferred

Changing demographics and the commodities crash have slowed down the development of poorer countries. Perhaps it all started with a turn in China’s demographics. Demand growth for commodities has declined sharply from recent years and has resulted in a crash of global prices. Copper is … Continue reading

Posted in Brazil, BRIC countries, China, Churchill, Commodities, Demography, Economy, Education, Emerging Markets, India, Investment, Kenya, Mexico, Natural Resources, Nigeria, Oil, Pakistan, Philippines, Russia, Society, Tanzania | 1 Comment

In One Chart: Achieving the Demographic Dividend

The experience of China provides a useful policy template for countries with booming populations in south and southeast Asia and in sub-Saharan Africa. The Chinese boom showed that a growing working-age population combined with a declining fertility ratio can result in a large demographic dividend if certain conditions … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, BRIC countries, China, Demography, Economy, Education, Family Planning, India, Investment, Nigeria, Society, Sub-Saharan, Trade, Urbanization | Leave a comment

How Many People Will Live in Africa in 2050 and 2100?

Large declines in fertility will depend on raising female literacy above 80%. Every few years, the United Nations Population Division releases demographic projections for the entire world and for every country, region and continent. Although the UN’s database is the most used source on demographics, … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, Analysis and Opinion, Asia, China, Demography, Economy, Education, Emerging Markets, Family Planning, India, Investment, Kenya, Niger, Nigeria, Sub-Saharan, Uganda, United Nations, Urbanization, World Bank | Leave a comment

China’s Demographics at a Turning Point

For decades, the decline in China’s birth rate was a big boost for the economy. What now? This week, schadenfreude could have been a word invented for China experts if you judge by some of the commentary surrounding the country’s lifting of its one-child policy. Most … Continue reading

Posted in BRIC countries, China, Demography, Dependency Ratio, Economy, Emerging Markets, Family Planning, India | Leave a comment

Conference Brief: ‘The Modi-fication of the Indian Economy’

As discussed several times on this page, India’s demographics and drive for reforms have the potential to significantly accelerate its economic growth in the next decade. It was timely therefore that Cornell University’s Johnson Graduate School of Management, in partnership with … Continue reading

Posted in BRIC countries, Economy, India, Infrastructure, Society