Category Archives: Immigration

Trump Country: Where the Immigrants Aren’t

Trump did best in the states with the lowest percentages of foreign-born residents. “I love the poorly-educated”, gushed Donald Trump after winning the Nevada primary in February. But in the end, what happened in the primary, stayed in the primary. Come … Continue reading

Posted in 2016 Candidates, California, Demography, Economy, Florida, Immigration, Politics, Society, Terrorism, Texas, United States | Leave a comment

Job Creation Under the Next President

(The Wall Street Journal published on November 2nd a synopsis of this post. It was also featured on January 20th in the French weekly L’Express.) Retraining the employed and the unemployed for higher value-added skills is now more important than simply adding to the number … Continue reading

Posted in 2016 Candidates, Demography, Economy, Immigration, Unemployment, United States, US Economy | Leave a comment

America Without Immigration 2015-50

Be careful what you wish for, if that is what you wish for. Except for the oil shocks of the 1970s and a few other recessionary years, the US economy has generally been strong in the postwar era since 1945. … Continue reading

Posted in Demography, Dependency Ratio, Economy, Immigration, United States, US Economy | Leave a comment

The Candidates’ Other Demographic Challenge

It is massively larger than 11 million illegals. Hans Rosling, co-founder of Gapminder, calls it “the biggest change of our time”. It is Africa’s population growth from 1 billion people today to 2.5 billion by 2050 and 4 billion by 2100. … Continue reading

Posted in 2016 Candidates, Africa, Demography, Dependency Ratio, Economy, Emerging Markets, Europe, Immigration, India, Mexico, Nigeria, Politics, Poverty, Russia, United States, US Economy

Demography, the Global Emergency

It is not an exaggeration to say that world demographics are entering uncharted territory. For the first time in a very long time, perhaps the first time ever, the dependency ratios (loosely, the ratio of dependents to workers) of all … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, Analysis and Opinion, Bangladesh, Demography, Dependency Ratio, Economy, Emerging Markets, Europe, European Union, Germany, Immigration, India, Nigeria, Philippines, Sub-Saharan

US GDP: Is 4% Growth Achievable?

The Wall Street Journal and The Financial Times say no. While announcing his presidential campaign Monday, Jeb Bush said: There is not a reason in the world why we cannot grow at a rate of 4% a year. And that … Continue reading

Posted in 2016 Candidates, Analysis and Opinion, Demography, Dependency Ratio, Economy, Immigration, United States, US Economy

NIC: Global Trends 2030

The US NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE COUNCIL released a study GLOBAL TRENDS 2030: ALTERNATIVE WORLDS.  The talking points about demographics are as follows: Rapid extensions of life expectancy likely: global deaths from communicable diseases projected to drop by more than 40 percent. Some … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, Asia, Demography, Economy, Emerging Markets, Europe, Immigration, Latin America, Sub-Saharan, United States

U.S. Birth Rate Hits Record Low

STEPHANIE CZEKALINSKI writes in NATIONAL JOURNAL: The U.S. birth rate dropped to its lowest level since the beginning of the Great Depression, led by a drop among immigrants, according to a report data released Thursday by the Pew Research Center. In 2011, the … Continue reading

Posted in Family Planning, Immigration, United States

NYT: Slower Growth Seen in a Graying World

FLOYD NORRIS writes in the NEW YORK TIMES: AS the world grows older in the coming decades, economic growth will slow. That forecast was issued Friday by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, a group of 34 countries that includes … Continue reading

Posted in Demography, Dependency Ratio, Immigration, Retirement, United States, US Economy

Belarus Population Declined by 6% in Two Decades 1989-2009

Emigration and aging of the population are main causes. From BELARUS DIGEST: Official population censuses in Belarus conducted in 1989, 1999 and 2009 reveal a number of interesting trends. They show that the population declines, the proportion of those who … Continue reading

Posted in Belarus, Demography, Depopulation, Europe, Immigration