Category Archives: Immigration

Africa: 800 Million Jobs Needed

African economies are in a race to get ahead of the demographic boom. Let us share without fear the journey of migrants and refugees. #ShareJourney — Pope Francis (@Pontifex) September 27, 2017 “Let us share without fear the journey of … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, BRIC countries, China, Corruption, Cronyism, Demographic Dividend, Demography, Dependency Ratio, Economy, Emerging Markets, Europe, European Union, Family Planning, Immigration, Infrastructure, Society | Leave a comment

A Different Kind of Border Wall

To slow mass migration, stop the illicit capital flight from poor to rich countries. An asset manager called ____ Capital recently sent out this email seeking referrals: The US Investor visa program allows one to invest $500,000 U.S. in a … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, Asia, Corruption, Cronyism, Demography, Economy, Emerging Markets, Europe, Hedge Funds, Immigration, Luxury Goods, Manhattan, Real Estate, Society, US Economy | Leave a comment

Trump Country: Where the Immigrants Aren’t

Trump did best in the states with the lowest percentages of foreign-born residents. “I love the poorly-educated”, gushed Donald Trump after winning the Nevada primary in February. But in the end, what happened in the primary, stayed in the primary. Come … Continue reading

Posted in 2016 Candidates, California, Demography, Economy, Florida, Immigration, Politics, Society, Terrorism, Texas, United States | Leave a comment

Job Creation Under the Next President

(The Wall Street Journal published on November 2nd a synopsis of this post. It was also featured on January 20th in the French weekly L’Express.) Retraining the employed and the unemployed for higher value-added skills is now more important than simply adding to the number … Continue reading

Posted in 2016 Candidates, Demography, Economy, Immigration, Unemployment, United States, US Economy | Leave a comment

America Without Immigration 2015-50

Be careful what you wish for, if that is what you wish for. Except for the oil shocks of the 1970s and a few other recessionary years, the US economy has generally been strong in the postwar era since 1945. … Continue reading

Posted in Demography, Dependency Ratio, Economy, Immigration, United States, US Economy

The Candidates’ Other Demographic Challenge

It is massively larger than 11 million illegals. Hans Rosling, co-founder of Gapminder, calls it “the biggest change of our time”. It is Africa’s population growth from 1 billion people today to 2.5 billion by 2050 and 4 billion by 2100. … Continue reading

Posted in 2016 Candidates, Africa, Demography, Dependency Ratio, Economy, Emerging Markets, Europe, Immigration, India, Mexico, Nigeria, Politics, Poverty, Russia, United States, US Economy

Demography, the Global Emergency

It is not an exaggeration to say that world demographics are entering uncharted territory. For the first time in a very long time, perhaps the first time ever, the dependency ratios (loosely, the ratio of dependents to workers) of all … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, Analysis and Opinion, Bangladesh, Demography, Dependency Ratio, Economy, Emerging Markets, Europe, European Union, Germany, Immigration, India, Nigeria, Philippines, Sub-Saharan

US GDP: Is 4% Growth Achievable?

The Wall Street Journal and The Financial Times say no. While announcing his presidential campaign Monday, Jeb Bush said: There is not a reason in the world why we cannot grow at a rate of 4% a year. And that … Continue reading

Posted in 2016 Candidates, Analysis and Opinion, Demography, Dependency Ratio, Economy, Immigration, United States, US Economy

NIC: Global Trends 2030

The US NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE COUNCIL released a study GLOBAL TRENDS 2030: ALTERNATIVE WORLDS.  The talking points about demographics are as follows: Rapid extensions of life expectancy likely: global deaths from communicable diseases projected to drop by more than 40 percent. Some … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, Asia, Demography, Economy, Emerging Markets, Europe, Immigration, Latin America, Sub-Saharan, United States

U.S. Birth Rate Hits Record Low

STEPHANIE CZEKALINSKI writes in NATIONAL JOURNAL: The U.S. birth rate dropped to its lowest level since the beginning of the Great Depression, led by a drop among immigrants, according to a report data released Thursday by the Pew Research Center. In 2011, the … Continue reading

Posted in Family Planning, Immigration, United States