Category Archives: Sub-Saharan

The Economics of Dependency

This article first appeared at Foreign Affairs. How countries hit the demographic sweet spot. Demographics are among the most important influences on a country’s overall economic performance, but compared with other contributors, such as the quality of governance or institutions, their … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, BRIC countries, China, Corruption, Demographic Dividend, Demography, Dependency Ratio, Economy, Education, Europe, Foreign Affairs, India, Infrastructure, Innovation, Society, Sub-Saharan, United States, US Economy | Leave a comment

2016 populyst Index™ First Quartile Demographic Scores

In constructing the populyst Index™, we use multiple sources to arrive at a rating for two of the index’s three pillars: Innovation & Productivity and Society & Governance. However our Demographics rating is developed by populyst. The score ranges from -2 to +2. … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, Demography, Dependency Ratio, Economy, Europe, Innovation, Middle East, populyst Index, Society, Sub-Saharan, United States | Leave a comment

Talking about populyst and the populyst Index

Aaron M. Renn, a senior fellow at the Manhattan Institute and a contributing editor at City Journal, invited founder Sami J. Karam to discuss populyst and the populyst index. Topics include the economies of America and China, Europe’s demographic stagnation and Africa’s population … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, BRIC countries, China, Demography, Dependency Ratio, Economy, Emerging Markets, Europe, Germany, India, Innovation, Japan, Podcast, Society, Sub-Saharan, United States | Leave a comment

A Rough Estimate of GDP Growth in Africa and Asia

It is morally right that every child should be given the best chance to survive, eat well, stay healthy, and receive an education. Now we also know that it is among the best investments we can make. Healthy, well-educated kids … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, BRIC countries, Demography, Economy, Education, Emerging Markets, Infrastructure, Kenya, Society, Sub-Saharan | 1 Comment

The Relationship Between Fertility and National Income

We all heard that “demography is destiny”. But how many of us truly believe it? If demography was destiny, the world would look very different today. The two demographic giants China and India would be uncontested economic and military powers. The United … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, China, Communism, Demography, Economy, Education, Health Care, India, Natural Resources, Oil, Society, Sub-Saharan | 2 Comments

In One Chart: Achieving the Demographic Dividend

The experience of China provides a useful policy template for countries with booming populations in south and southeast Asia and in sub-Saharan Africa. The Chinese boom showed that a growing working-age population combined with a declining fertility ratio can result in a large demographic dividend if certain conditions … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, BRIC countries, China, Demography, Economy, Education, Family Planning, India, Investment, Nigeria, Society, Sub-Saharan, Trade, Urbanization | Leave a comment

How Many People Will Live in Africa in 2050 and 2100?

Large declines in fertility will depend on raising female literacy above 80%. Every few years, the United Nations Population Division releases demographic projections for the entire world and for every country, region and continent. Although the UN’s database is the most used source on demographics, … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, Analysis and Opinion, Asia, China, Demography, Economy, Education, Emerging Markets, Family Planning, India, Investment, Kenya, Niger, Nigeria, Sub-Saharan, Uganda, United Nations, Urbanization, World Bank | Leave a comment

Report: Africa’s Demographic Transition, Dividend or Disaster?

A recent report published jointly by the World Bank and by Agence Française de Développement highlights the challenge of realizing Africa’s promised demographic dividend. The title Africa’s Demographic Transition: Dividend or Disaster? (see footnote 1) sums up the authors’ thesis that the dividend is … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, Botswana, Demography, DR Congo, Economy, Emerging Markets, Ethiopia, Kenya, Niger, Nigeria, Society, South Africa, Sub-Saharan, Tanzania, World Bank

Now a Trade Partnership with Africa?

A few days ago, the United States reached agreement on the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) with eleven other nations (see list in tables below). Here is how the Office of the US Trade Representative (USTR) describes the TPP on its web page: … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Demography, Dependency Ratio, Economy, Emerging Markets, Investment, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Nigeria, Peru, Singapore, Sub-Saharan, Tanzania, Trade, United States, US Economy, Vietnam

Working Age Population Around the World 1960-2050

A fast growing economy usually requires a growing working-age population.  It is informative in this regard to look at the size of the working-age population (wap) for different regions and countries of the world. This data, compiled from the UN’s World … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, Brazil, China, Demography, Economy, Emerging Markets, Europe, France, Germany, India, Japan, Russia, Sub-Saharan, United Kingdom, United States