Category Archives: China

The Economics of Dependency

This article first appeared at Foreign Affairs. How countries hit the demographic sweet spot. Demographics are among the most important influences on a country’s overall economic performance, but compared with other contributors, such as the quality of governance or institutions, their … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, BRIC countries, China, Corruption, Demographic Dividend, Demography, Dependency Ratio, Economy, Education, Europe, Foreign Affairs, India, Infrastructure, Innovation, Society, Sub-Saharan, United States, US Economy | Leave a comment

The Futility of Annual Top 10 Predictions

In every recent year, a black swan event has made top 10 lists appear quaintly naive and unimaginative. Our list is probably no better. This time of year, top 10 predictions are all the rage. These lists can be interesting and entertaining but how useful are … Continue reading

Posted in China, Economy, Emerging Markets, India, Iran, Oil, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Society, Terrorism, United States | Leave a comment

Talking about populyst and the populyst Index

Aaron M. Renn, a senior fellow at the Manhattan Institute and a contributing editor at City Journal, invited founder Sami J. Karam to discuss populyst and the populyst index. Topics include the economies of America and China, Europe’s demographic stagnation and Africa’s population … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, BRIC countries, China, Demography, Dependency Ratio, Economy, Emerging Markets, Europe, Germany, India, Innovation, Japan, Podcast, Society, Sub-Saharan, United States | Leave a comment

Manhattan Ultra-Luxury ‘Battling the Serpent of Chaos’

The deceleration of China and resulting commodities crash have created a problem for developers of ultra luxury condominiums. The ancient Egyptians believed that the sky was a solid dome, the belly of the goddess Nut who arched her body from one side of the … Continue reading

Posted in China, Commodities, Economy, Investment, New York, Offshore, Real Estate, Society, US Economy | Leave a comment

The Relationship Between Fertility and National Income

We all heard that “demography is destiny”. But how many of us truly believe it? If demography was destiny, the world would look very different today. The two demographic giants China and India would be uncontested economic and military powers. The United … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, China, Communism, Demography, Economy, Education, Health Care, India, Natural Resources, Oil, Society, Sub-Saharan | 2 Comments

Rise of the Rest: A Vision Deferred

Changing demographics and the commodities crash have slowed down the development of poorer countries. Perhaps it all started with a turn in China’s demographics. Demand growth for commodities has declined sharply from recent years and has resulted in a crash of global prices. Copper is … Continue reading

Posted in Brazil, BRIC countries, China, Churchill, Commodities, Demography, Economy, Education, Emerging Markets, India, Investment, Kenya, Mexico, Natural Resources, Nigeria, Oil, Pakistan, Philippines, Russia, Society, Tanzania | 1 Comment

In One Chart: Achieving the Demographic Dividend

The experience of China provides a useful policy template for countries with booming populations in south and southeast Asia and in sub-Saharan Africa. The Chinese boom showed that a growing working-age population combined with a declining fertility ratio can result in a large demographic dividend if certain conditions … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, BRIC countries, China, Demography, Economy, Education, Family Planning, India, Investment, Nigeria, Society, Sub-Saharan, Trade, Urbanization | Leave a comment

How Many People Will Live in Africa in 2050 and 2100?

Large declines in fertility will depend on raising female literacy above 80%. Every few years, the United Nations Population Division releases demographic projections for the entire world and for every country, region and continent. Although the UN’s database is the most used source on demographics, … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, Analysis and Opinion, Asia, China, Demography, Economy, Education, Emerging Markets, Family Planning, India, Investment, Kenya, Niger, Nigeria, Sub-Saharan, Uganda, United Nations, Urbanization, World Bank | Leave a comment

China’s Demographics at a Turning Point

For decades, the decline in China’s birth rate was a big boost for the economy. What now? This week, schadenfreude could have been a word invented for China experts if you judge by some of the commentary surrounding the country’s lifting of its one-child policy. Most … Continue reading

Posted in BRIC countries, China, Demography, Dependency Ratio, Economy, Emerging Markets, Family Planning, India

Working Age Population Around the World 1960-2050

A fast growing economy usually requires a growing working-age population.  It is informative in this regard to look at the size of the working-age population (wap) for different regions and countries of the world. This data, compiled from the UN’s World … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, Brazil, China, Demography, Economy, Emerging Markets, Europe, France, Germany, India, Japan, Russia, Sub-Saharan, United Kingdom, United States